Lega Pro Girone B Round 27

FC Südtirol vs Modena analysis

FC Südtirol Modena
49 ELO 55
-12.9% Tilt -11.3%
441º General ELO ranking 442º
33º Country ELO ranking 34º
ELO win probability
30.3%
FC Südtirol
28.5%
Draw
41.2%
Modena

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.3%
Win probability
FC Südtirol
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
41.2%
Win probability
Modena
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
FC Südtirol
+9%
+2%
Modena

ELO progression

FC Südtirol
Modena
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

FC Südtirol
FC Südtirol
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Feb. 2017
TER
Teramo
0 - 0
FC Südtirol
FCS
48%
25%
27%
49 48 1 0
11 Feb. 2017
FCS
FC Südtirol
1 - 1
Reggiana
REG
29%
28%
43%
48 56 8 +1
04 Feb. 2017
FOR
Forli
1 - 3
FC Südtirol
FCS
44%
25%
31%
47 45 2 +1
29 Jan. 2017
FCS
FC Südtirol
1 - 1
Bassano Virtus
BV5
23%
26%
51%
47 56 9 0
21 Jan. 2017
FER
Union Brescia
1 - 0
FC Südtirol
FCS
54%
24%
22%
48 50 2 -1

Matches

Modena
Modena
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Feb. 2017
BV5
Bassano Virtus
0 - 2
Modena
MOD
49%
26%
25%
55 56 1 0
12 Feb. 2017
MOD
Modena
2 - 1
Ancona 1905
ANC
58%
24%
19%
54 48 6 +1
08 Feb. 2017
MAC
Maceratese
1 - 0
Modena
MOD
42%
28%
31%
55 53 2 -1
05 Feb. 2017
REG
Reggiana
1 - 0
Modena
MOD
44%
28%
29%
56 55 1 -1
29 Jan. 2017
MOD
Modena
2 - 1
Teramo
TER
52%
26%
23%
55 51 4 +1