FC Südtirol vs Fermana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.6%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
13.8%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Südtirol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
UAR
0 - 1
FCS
16%
24%
60%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
FCS
0 - 3
REG
56%
24%
20%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
RIM
1 - 1
FCS
22%
28%
49%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
FCS
2 - 3
CAR
26%
29%
45%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
VIS
1 - 2
FCS
22%
29%
48%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
FER
1 - 1
SSS
21%
24%
55%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
PIA
0 - 1
FER
74%
18%
9%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
FER
0 - 1
FER
24%
25%
52%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
VIC
3 - 1
FER
70%
20%
11%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
FER
2 - 1
RAV
22%
27%
52%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | +2 |