Serie C . Jor. 33

FC Südtirol vs Pavia analysis

FC Südtirol Pavia
44 ELO 46
-22.8% Tilt -7.6%
761º General ELO ranking 18869º
34º Country ELO ranking 429º
ELO win probability
31%
FC Südtirol
28.3%
Draw
40.7%
Pavia

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31%
Win probability
FC Südtirol
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
40.7%
Win probability
Pavia
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

FC Südtirol
Pavia
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

FC Südtirol
FC Südtirol
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 May. 2011
ACL
Lumezzane
1 - 0
FC Südtirol
FCS
67%
21%
12%
43 57 14 0
23 Apr. 2011
FCS
FC Südtirol
0 - 2
Sorrento
SOR
15%
24%
61%
44 60 16 -1
17 Apr. 2011
PER
Pergocrema
3 - 0
FC Südtirol
FCS
55%
26%
19%
45 52 7 -1
10 Apr. 2011
FCS
FC Südtirol
0 - 1
AC Monza
ASS
33%
28%
39%
46 48 2 -1
28 Mar. 2011
SPA
SPAL
2 - 2
FC Südtirol
FCS
61%
25%
15%
45 56 11 +1

Matches

Pavia
Pavia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 May. 2011
PAV
Pavia
1 - 1
Hellas Verona
VER
29%
29%
42%
47 61 14 0
23 Apr. 2011
USA
US Alessandria
2 - 0
Pavia
PAV
63%
23%
15%
47 56 9 0
17 Apr. 2011
PAV
Pavia
1 - 1
AS Gubbio 1910
ASG
35%
29%
37%
47 56 9 0
10 Apr. 2011
PAV
Pavia
5 - 4
Sorrento
SOR
22%
26%
53%
46 60 14 +1
27 Mar. 2011
COM
Como
4 - 2
Pavia
PAV
61%
24%
16%
47 54 7 -1
X