Struga vs Shkupi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.1%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
30.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
66
1º
2º
1º
59
1º
11º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
59 | 63 |
2º
|
94.5% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 58 |
3º
|
94% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 51 |
4º
|
98.5% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 42 |
5º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 42 |
6º
|
27.5% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 41 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 41 |
8º
|
38.5% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 32 |
9º
|
33% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 31 |
10º
|
51.5% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 25 |
11º
|
83.5% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 14 |
12º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Struga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
FCS
0 - 0
MAK
43%
27%
30%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
TIK
1 - 1
FCS
36%
28%
36%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
VOK
0 - 2
FCS
24%
23%
53%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
PET
0 - 3
FCS
59%
23%
19%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
FCH
2 - 2
FCS
42%
25%
33%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Shkupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
SHK
3 - 3
AKP
60%
23%
17%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
SIL
2 - 1
SHK
38%
28%
35%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
SHK
2 - 0
SHK
44%
25%
31%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
SHK
4 - 0
ZAL
28%
23%
49%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
SHK
1 - 4
PAK
46%
24%
30%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |