Champions League . Last 16
Global 16-2
Spartak Trnava vs FC Reipas Lahti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.5%
Win probability
3.08
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.1%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
13.2%
10.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spartak Trnava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1968 |
FCR
1 - 9
FCS
38%
21%
41%
|
72 | 52 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1968 |
FCS
4 - 0
STB
49%
23%
28%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +2 |
| 18 Sep. 1968 |
STB
3 - 1
FCS
69%
17%
14%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 1967 |
FCS
1 - 3
TOR
55%
20%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 1967 |
TOR
3 - 0
FCS
49%
21%
30%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
FC Reipas Lahti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1968 |
FCR
1 - 9
FCS
38%
21%
41%
|
52 | 72 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1968 |
FCR
2 - 0
FLO
44%
23%
33%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 1968 |
FLO
1 - 1
FCR
72%
16%
12%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 1965 |
BUD
6 - 0
FCR
74%
14%
12%
|
51 | 73 | 22 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 1965 |
FCR
2 - 10
BUD
40%
21%
39%
|
52 | 72 | 20 | -1 |