FK Smorgon vs Naftan Novopolotsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
54.7%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Smorgon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
FCS
0 - 3
FRB
7%
19%
74%
|
45 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
FKK
4 - 0
FCS
71%
17%
12%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
FCS
0 - 0
LID
21%
26%
53%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
ORS
3 - 1
FCS
49%
23%
28%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
FCS
0 - 0
BEL
10%
19%
71%
|
46 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Naftan Novopolotsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
GRA
3 - 4
NAF
30%
27%
42%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
NAF
2 - 2
FRB
26%
27%
48%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
SMO
2 - 1
NAF
53%
24%
22%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
NAF
2 - 2
FKK
47%
26%
27%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
FCS
1 - 2
NAF
25%
26%
49%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | +1 |