Schruns vs Hard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.7%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.7%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
49%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
6%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schruns
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
SCG
1 - 1
SCH
45%
22%
34%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
SCH
1 - 2
ALB
26%
21%
53%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
BEZ
3 - 1
SCH
55%
20%
25%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2020 |
EGG
6 - 1
SCH
84%
10%
6%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
SCH
1 - 4
LUD
62%
19%
19%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
HAR
2 - 2
NEN
37%
22%
41%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
AND
0 - 0
HAR
69%
17%
14%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
SCG
2 - 3
HAR
29%
21%
50%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2020 |
HAR
5 - 1
ALB
30%
23%
47%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
BEZ
5 - 3
HAR
48%
21%
31%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |