Santos vs Real Saramacca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.4%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
23.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2012 |
TAM
6 - 4
SFC
67%
17%
16%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2012 |
BOM
5 - 2
SFC
72%
16%
12%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
SFC
3 - 0
TBR
58%
21%
22%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
FCS
2 - 4
SFC
55%
21%
25%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
TAK
2 - 0
SFC
77%
14%
9%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Real Saramacca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2012 |
RES
0 - 1
RAN
20%
21%
60%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2012 |
RES
0 - 5
TAK
19%
20%
61%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
ACO
2 - 2
RES
66%
18%
16%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
INR
6 - 2
RES
61%
20%
19%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
RES
7 - 3
TAM
33%
22%
45%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | +2 |