Landesliga Thuringen Round 24

FC Saalfeld vs BW Neustadt / Orla analysis

FC Saalfeld BW Neustadt / Orla
19 ELO 21
-0.2% Tilt 4.4%
50908º General ELO ranking 51206º
2465º Country ELO ranking 2621º
ELO win probability
47.2%
FC Saalfeld
21.2%
Draw
31.6%
BW Neustadt / Orla

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.2%
Win probability
FC Saalfeld
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
31.6%
Win probability
BW Neustadt / Orla
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
FC Saalfeld
+3%
+181%
BW Neustadt / Orla

ELO progression

FC Saalfeld
BW Neustadt / Orla
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

FC Saalfeld
FC Saalfeld
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Apr. 2024
FCS
FC Saalfeld
1 - 1
Bad Langensalza
BLA
42%
22%
36%
20 21 1 0
13 Apr. 2024
FSV
FSV Schleiz
1 - 0
FC Saalfeld
FCS
53%
21%
26%
20 22 2 0
06 Apr. 2024
FCS
FC Saalfeld
6 - 1
SpVgg Geratal
SGE
45%
22%
33%
19 20 1 +1
27 Mar. 2024
SCH
Schott Jena
3 - 1
FC Saalfeld
FCS
62%
19%
20%
19 24 5 0
16 Mar. 2024
FCS
FC Saalfeld
3 - 4
Wacker Nordhausen
WAC
24%
21%
55%
19 27 8 0

Matches

BW Neustadt / Orla
BW Neustadt / Orla
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Apr. 2024
BWN
BW Neustadt / Orla
1 - 2
Heiligenstadt
SCH
50%
21%
29%
20 20 0 0
13 Apr. 2024
BLA
Bad Langensalza
1 - 1
BW Neustadt / Orla
BWN
51%
21%
28%
20 21 1 0
06 Apr. 2024
BWN
BW Neustadt / Orla
6 - 0
Eintracht Sondershausen
SON
82%
12%
7%
20 11 9 0
23 Mar. 2024
FSV
FSV Schleiz
4 - 2
BW Neustadt / Orla
BWN
47%
22%
31%
20 21 1 0
16 Mar. 2024
BWN
BW Neustadt / Orla
1 - 4
FC An der Fahner Höhe
FCA
21%
21%
58%
20 35 15 0