FC Romania vs Hertford Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.3%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.2%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.7%
76.9%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.9%
0-3
10.5%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.3%
0-4
6.7%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.6%
0-5
3.4%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
4.6%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
19º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
11º
20º
19º
38
7º
18º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
85 | 92 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 73 |
2º
|
86% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 69 |
3º
|
53% | |
|
4º
|
63 | 67 |
4º
|
42.5% | |
|
5º
|
62 | 66 |
5º
|
62.5% | |
|
7º
|
58 | 62 |
6º
|
21.5% | |
|
6º
|
61 | 62 |
7º
|
25.5% | |
|
8º
|
55 | 59 |
8º
|
27.5% | |
|
10º
|
52 | 58 |
9º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
53 | 56 |
10º
|
59% | |
|
11º
|
49 | 52 |
11º
|
29.5% | |
|
12º
|
47 | 51 |
12º
|
41% | |
|
13º
|
46 | 49 |
13º
|
56% | |
|
|
15º
|
38 | 44 |
14º
|
41.5% | |
|
14º
|
40 | 44 |
15º
|
60.5% | |
|
20º
|
6 | 39 |
16º
|
20% | |
|
16º
|
34 | 37 |
17º
|
59% | |
|
17º
|
28 | 29 |
18º
|
68% | |
|
|
19º
|
23 | 27 |
19º
|
71.5% | |
|
18º
|
23 | 23 |
20º
|
81.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
24.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
75.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Romania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
AFD
5 - 1
FCR
76%
15%
9%
|
12 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
BFC
8 - 0
FCR
82%
12%
6%
|
13 | 32 | 19 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
HIG
5 - 0
FCR
56%
20%
24%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2023 |
FCR
1 - 3
WAR
11%
17%
72%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
FCR
0 - 0
THA
18%
22%
60%
|
14 | 24 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Hertford Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
HER
3 - 1
BER
13%
19%
68%
|
19 | 42 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2023 |
WEL
0 - 3
HER
61%
20%
20%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
HER
4 - 2
THA
29%
24%
47%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | +2 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
HER
1 - 3
BIG
23%
22%
55%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
THA
2 - 1
HER
66%
18%
16%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |