Rebel Kyiv vs Oleksandriya II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.4%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
62.3%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
8%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1157%
+1053%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
1º
9º
9º
10
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
12 | 39 |
1º
|
32% | |
|
|
3º
|
10 | 37 |
2º
|
17% | |
|
4º
|
9 | 34 |
3º
|
21% | |
|
6º
|
5 | 32 |
4º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
1 | 31 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
7º
|
4 | 31 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
11º
|
0 | 30 |
7º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 29 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
|
2º
|
12 | 26 |
9º
|
32% | |
|
5º
|
6 | 17 |
10º
|
71% | |
|
10º
|
0 | 8 |
11º
|
88.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 29.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0.5% | 17% |
|
Mid-table
|
99% | 53.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rebel Kyiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2025 |
CFP
2 - 3
FCR
8%
13%
79%
|
26 | 9 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
FCR
2 - 0
HSP
17%
21%
62%
|
17 | 50 | 33 | +9 |
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
FCR
1 - 0
CHO
7%
13%
80%
|
9 | 48 | 39 | +8 |
Matches
Oleksandriya II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2025 |
OLE
2 - 1
FKT
39%
25%
36%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
CHA
1 - 1
OLE
62%
22%
17%
|
39 | 57 | 18 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2025 |
OLE
1 - 0
FCD
23%
23%
54%
|
38 | 55 | 17 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
CHA
2 - 2
OLE
62%
22%
16%
|
37 | 57 | 20 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
OLE
1 - 2
FKC
27%
25%
49%
|
38 | 55 | 17 | -1 |