Porto vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.4%
Win probability
3.54
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.4%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
5%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
2.9%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.2%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
4.9%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.2%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.4%
9.1%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
9.1%
5.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1959 |
ACA
1 - 0
FCP
23%
22%
55%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1959 |
BRA
2 - 1
FCP
29%
22%
49%
|
89 | 67 | 22 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 1959 |
SLB
1 - 0
FCP
54%
21%
25%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 1959 |
FCP
7 - 1
LGC
91%
7%
3%
|
89 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 1959 |
LGC
0 - 3
FCP
19%
20%
62%
|
89 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1959 |
VIT
7 - 0
LGC
59%
20%
21%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1959 |
VIT
2 - 0
SPB
61%
19%
21%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 May. 1959 |
SPB
4 - 0
VIT
66%
17%
17%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 1959 |
SPC
3 - 1
VIT
53%
22%
26%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 1959 |
VIT
4 - 5
ACA
63%
19%
18%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |