Porto vs União Madeira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.4%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.6%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.2%
8.4%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
SPB
3 - 1
FCP
33%
26%
42%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
FCP
2 - 0
GFC
77%
16%
7%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
BEL
1 - 2
FCP
13%
22%
66%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2016 |
FCP
0 - 1
BVB
28%
24%
48%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
FCP
3 - 2
MOR
73%
18%
10%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
União Madeira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
UNM
0 - 0
BEL
31%
28%
41%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2016 |
SLB
2 - 0
UNM
81%
13%
6%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2016 |
UNM
1 - 1
EST
22%
28%
50%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
ARO
3 - 0
UNM
48%
26%
26%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
UNM
0 - 1
MOR
35%
28%
38%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |