Taça de Portugal Semi-finals

Porto vs Sporting CP analysis

Porto Sporting CP
89 ELO 87
-12.3% Tilt -6.5%
109º General ELO ranking 100º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
48.1%
Porto
25.8%
Draw
26.2%
Sporting CP

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.1%
Win probability
Porto
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
26.1%
Win probability
Sporting CP
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Porto
-4%
+17%
Sporting CP

ELO progression

Porto
Sporting CP
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Porto
Porto
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Mar. 2006
FCP
Porto
3 - 0
Paços de Ferreira
PAÇ
67%
20%
13%
88 69 19 0
15 Mar. 2006
MAR
Marítimo
1 - 2
Porto
FCP
22%
28%
50%
89 75 14 -1
12 Mar. 2006
VST
Vitória Setúbal
0 - 2
Porto
FCP
22%
27%
52%
88 75 13 +1
05 Mar. 2006
FCP
Porto
3 - 0
Nacional
NAC
66%
21%
13%
88 77 11 0
26 Feb. 2006
SLB
Benfica
1 - 0
Porto
FCP
40%
27%
33%
88 86 2 0

Matches

Sporting CP
Sporting CP
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Mar. 2006
UDL
União de Leiria
0 - 1
Sporting CP
SCP
19%
23%
57%
87 74 13 0
15 Mar. 2006
ACA
Académica
0 - 2
Sporting CP
SCP
19%
22%
59%
86 71 15 +1
12 Mar. 2006
SCP
Sporting CP
1 - 0
Boavista
BOA
61%
23%
16%
86 81 5 0
05 Mar. 2006
SCP
Sporting CP
2 - 0
Gil Vicente
GFC
71%
19%
10%
86 71 15 0
25 Feb. 2006
ACA
Académica
0 - 3
Sporting CP
SCP
19%
22%
59%
86 70 16 0