Porto vs Paços de Ferreira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.5%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.2%
6.3%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2017 |
RBL
3 - 2
FCP
40%
26%
35%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2017 |
LGC
0 - 6
FCP
4%
14%
82%
|
88 | 46 | 42 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
SCP
0 - 0
FCP
37%
26%
37%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2017 |
MON
0 - 3
FCP
61%
21%
18%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2017 |
FCP
5 - 2
POR
79%
15%
7%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Paços de Ferreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
ACA
2 - 1
PAÇ
20%
24%
57%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
PAÇ
1 - 1
RIO
44%
27%
29%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
PAÇ
3 - 2
MOR
52%
25%
23%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
SLB
2 - 0
PAÇ
82%
12%
6%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2017 |
LEX
1 - 0
PAÇ
18%
22%
60%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | -1 |