Porto vs Oriental Lisboa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.9%
Win probability
3.52
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.4%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.1%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
2.8%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.3%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
4.8%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.4%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.4%
8.9%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
8.9%
5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1950 |
VST
3 - 0
FCP
34%
23%
43%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1950 |
FCP
1 - 2
SPC
80%
12%
8%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1950 |
FCP
1 - 1
ACA
71%
15%
14%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1950 |
SPB
1 - 1
FCP
25%
21%
54%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1950 |
FCP
3 - 0
ATL
68%
17%
15%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Oriental Lisboa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1950 |
ORI
2 - 0
SPB
42%
22%
36%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1950 |
ATL
3 - 0
ORI
80%
12%
9%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1950 |
ORI
0 - 0
SCP
9%
13%
79%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1950 |
SLB
9 - 0
ORI
90%
6%
3%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1950 |
ORI
2 - 0
OLH
43%
22%
36%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |