Champions League . Last 16
Global 4-4
Porto vs Juventus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
48.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
FCP
2 - 2
BOA
80%
14%
6%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2021 |
SPB
1 - 1
FCP
35%
24%
40%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
SPB
2 - 2
FCP
36%
24%
40%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2021 |
BEL
0 - 0
FCP
16%
21%
63%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2021 |
FCP
2 - 0
RIO
75%
16%
9%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
NAP
1 - 0
JUV
26%
24%
50%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2021 |
JUV
0 - 0
INT
55%
23%
22%
|
92 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
JUV
2 - 0
ROM
63%
20%
17%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2021 |
INT
1 - 2
JUV
43%
24%
33%
|
92 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
SAM
0 - 2
JUV
14%
20%
66%
|
92 | 79 | 13 | 0 |