Super Cup . Final
Global 0-1
Porto vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
18.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1985 |
FCP
4 - 2
MAR
88%
9%
3%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1985 |
POR
1 - 0
FCP
27%
29%
44%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1985 |
SLB
1 - 0
FCP
65%
21%
14%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1985 |
BOA
1 - 2
FCP
26%
30%
45%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1985 |
FCP
3 - 1
FCB
59%
22%
19%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1985 |
ACA
0 - 1
SLB
13%
24%
63%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1985 |
SLB
1 - 0
SPB
84%
11%
5%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1985 |
SLB
1 - 0
FCP
65%
21%
14%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1985 |
CHA
0 - 1
SLB
21%
22%
56%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1985 |
SAM
1 - 0
SLB
31%
27%
41%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |