Porto vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
35.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 1974 |
FCP
3 - 1
FAB
72%
17%
11%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1974 |
LEX
2 - 0
FCP
25%
29%
47%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1974 |
FCP
4 - 2
BOA
68%
19%
12%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1974 |
VST
0 - 0
FCP
64%
21%
15%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1974 |
FCP
1 - 0
FCB
76%
15%
10%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1974 |
FAR
0 - 4
SLB
24%
25%
51%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1974 |
VST
2 - 2
SLB
46%
25%
29%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1974 |
SLB
4 - 0
FCB
87%
9%
4%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1974 |
OLH
1 - 7
SLB
17%
24%
59%
|
88 | 58 | 30 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1974 |
SLB
8 - 0
ORI
92%
6%
3%
|
88 | 55 | 33 | 0 |