Porto vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.2%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.3%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
16.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.4%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
16.1%
6.7%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2015 |
FEI
0 - 1
FCP
13%
20%
68%
|
89 | 67 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 2
FCP
21%
24%
55%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2015 |
CHL
2 - 0
FCP
51%
23%
26%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
FCP
2 - 1
PAÇ
67%
20%
13%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2015 |
UNM
0 - 4
FCP
12%
21%
68%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2015 |
BOA
1 - 0
ACA
42%
27%
31%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2015 |
ACA
4 - 3
BEL
35%
29%
36%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2015 |
SLB
3 - 0
ACA
79%
14%
6%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
ACA
1 - 1
ARO
45%
29%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
TRO
0 - 0
ACA
20%
25%
55%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | 0 |