Porto vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.5%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
8.8%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2012 |
DYN
0 - 0
FCP
33%
25%
43%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2012 |
FCP
5 - 0
MAR
74%
17%
10%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
EST
1 - 2
FCP
15%
22%
64%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2012 |
FCP
3 - 2
DYN
65%
21%
15%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 1
FCP
2%
10%
89%
|
88 | 41 | 47 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2012 |
ACA
2 - 0
ATM
12%
21%
67%
|
75 | 91 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
ACA
0 - 2
EST
51%
27%
22%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2012 |
SCP
0 - 0
ACA
65%
21%
14%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2012 |
ATM
2 - 1
ACA
82%
13%
6%
|
76 | 91 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
PON
1 - 3
ACA
6%
13%
81%
|
76 | 23 | 53 | 0 |