Piamont vs Thun II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
8.7%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
15.8%
70.6%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
3.2%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7%
1-4
5.5%
2-5
1.7%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
14.6%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
3%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
8.7%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
4.3%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Piamont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
FCP
0 - 3
TPA
39%
22%
39%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
COL
1 - 1
FCP
46%
22%
33%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
FCP
1 - 2
ROM
56%
20%
24%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
THU
0 - 1
FCP
81%
12%
8%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
DUD
5 - 0
FCP
80%
12%
8%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Thun II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
STA
1 - 1
THU
14%
18%
68%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
THU
2 - 2
ROM
78%
14%
9%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
LOC
2 - 3
THU
22%
19%
59%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
THU
0 - 1
FCP
81%
12%
8%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
FAR
2 - 1
THU
18%
20%
62%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | -1 |