Pepeni vs Grănicerul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.8%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.8%
18.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
2º
12º
3º
14
4º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 49 |
2º
|
95.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
39 | 48 |
3º
|
15% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 48 |
4º
|
10.5% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 46 |
5º
|
80% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 45 |
6º
|
11% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 45 |
7º
|
7.5% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 41 |
8º
|
99% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 38 |
9º
|
99% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
14 | 20 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
4 | 10 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 1 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pepeni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
CFR
0 - 4
FCP
24%
20%
56%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
ARO
1 - 0
FCP
21%
20%
59%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | -2 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
FCP
1 - 0
ARO
77%
13%
9%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
FCP
1 - 0
FCO
22%
18%
60%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
FCP
5 - 4
FCO
17%
17%
65%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | +3 |
Matches
Grănicerul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
GRA
2 - 3
SIN
9%
17%
74%
|
27 | 48 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
FCE
1 - 1
GRA
86%
10%
4%
|
26 | 47 | 21 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
GRA
1 - 5
ISK
18%
22%
61%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | -2 |
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
GRA
1 - 2
FCS
27%
24%
50%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -2 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
GRA
4 - 0
FCV
43%
21%
36%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +2 |