FC Paradiso vs Freienbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
13%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
65
1º
3º
1º
31
5º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 56 |
2º
|
89% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 53 |
3º
|
34.5% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
45.5% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
26% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 41 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 38 |
9º
|
53% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 37 |
10º
|
20.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
11º
|
25.5% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
12º
|
21.5% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 33 |
13º
|
47% | |
|
|
14º
|
31 | 32 |
14º
|
70% | |
|
15º
|
28 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
24 | 25 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Paradiso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
FCP
1 - 2
FCW
42%
26%
32%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
FCP
0 - 1
HON
76%
17%
8%
|
49 | 31 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
FCG
2 - 3
FCP
24%
24%
52%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
FCP
2 - 1
UZW
73%
18%
10%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
KRE
0 - 4
FCP
23%
24%
53%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Freienbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
FRE
2 - 0
FCG
47%
22%
31%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
FRE
2 - 2
FCG
49%
21%
31%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
UZW
2 - 0
FRE
39%
23%
38%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -2 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
FRE
3 - 2
KRE
55%
19%
26%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
FCW
2 - 1
FRE
30%
21%
49%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -1 |