TOP Oss vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
32.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TOP Oss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2005 |
FCO
0 - 1
HER
33%
25%
42%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2005 |
FOR
0 - 0
FCO
32%
25%
43%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2005 |
FCO
2 - 0
APE
50%
23%
28%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2005 |
FCO
2 - 0
BVV
51%
23%
27%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2005 |
TEL
1 - 2
FCO
53%
24%
24%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2005 |
EXC
1 - 2
VOL
52%
23%
24%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2005 |
EXC
1 - 0
FCD
67%
19%
14%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2005 |
EXC
1 - 2
HEL
47%
24%
29%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2005 |
EXC
1 - 4
HER
42%
25%
33%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2005 |
GAE
0 - 3
EXC
51%
23%
26%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |