Olimp Comrat vs Real Succes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.7%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
13.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
5º
7º
7º
4
5º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
15 | 16 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
15 | 16 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 13 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 10 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 10 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
4 | 7 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
5 | 5 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
3 | 3 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimp Comrat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
FCS
1 - 1
FCO
37%
24%
39%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
FCS
6 - 1
FCO
81%
13%
7%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
FCO
1 - 1
FCS
48%
23%
30%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
UNG
0 - 4
FCO
57%
21%
22%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2023 |
FCO
1 - 2
FCV
51%
23%
27%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Real Succes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
REA
0 - 4
FCS
15%
22%
64%
|
36 | 63 | 27 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
FCS
2 - 1
REA
64%
20%
16%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
REA
0 - 3
UNG
30%
22%
49%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -2 |
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
FCV
4 - 4
REA
60%
21%
19%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2023 |
REA
2 - 1
FST
34%
23%
42%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | +2 |