Nürnberg vs VfL Osnabrück analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.2%
13.3%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2009 |
SGF
1 - 1
FCN
37%
26%
37%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
FCN
1 - 0
ING
70%
21%
10%
|
78 | 56 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
FSV
2 - 1
FCN
22%
26%
51%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
FCN
2 - 0
STP
60%
23%
16%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
ROT
0 - 3
FCN
23%
27%
51%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
VfL Osnabrück
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2009 |
OSN
2 - 1
AAA
28%
27%
46%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2009 |
WEH
0 - 1
OSN
49%
25%
27%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2009 |
OSN
0 - 0
ROS
31%
26%
44%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2009 |
AUG
3 - 0
OSN
51%
25%
24%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
OSN
0 - 2
KAI
32%
26%
42%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | -1 |