Nürnberg vs Schweinfurt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.5%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.3%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
12.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1953 |
STU
5 - 2
FCN
68%
17%
15%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1953 |
SGF
0 - 2
FCN
62%
19%
19%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 1953 |
FCN
1 - 3
OFC
66%
19%
16%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 1953 |
VFR
3 - 2
FCN
62%
19%
19%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1953 |
FCN
2 - 2
KSC
68%
17%
15%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Schweinfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1953 |
SCH
3 - 3
WAL
66%
19%
16%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1953 |
HES
1 - 4
SCH
58%
21%
22%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 1953 |
AUG
1 - 2
SCH
77%
14%
9%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 1953 |
SCH
6 - 0
SVS
59%
21%
21%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 1953 |
VIK
4 - 1
SCH
75%
15%
10%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |