Nürnberg vs 1. FC Saarbrücken analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
18.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1986 |
HAN
0 - 2
FCN
55%
23%
22%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1986 |
FCN
3 - 1
S04
43%
26%
32%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 1986 |
STU
3 - 1
FCN
77%
14%
9%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1986 |
FCN
0 - 1
BYM
23%
24%
53%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 1986 |
MON
3 - 0
FCN
80%
13%
7%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
1. FC Saarbrücken
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1986 |
SAA
1 - 2
KOL
35%
25%
40%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1986 |
S04
3 - 2
SAA
73%
16%
11%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1986 |
HSV
4 - 0
SAA
75%
16%
10%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 1986 |
SAA
2 - 1
HAN
50%
23%
27%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1986 |
SAA
1 - 1
STU
30%
25%
45%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | +1 |