Nürnberg vs Arminia Bielefeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
17.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 1978 |
EIN
2 - 0
FCN
79%
13%
8%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1978 |
FCN
0 - 2
S04
37%
25%
38%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1978 |
MSV
1 - 0
FCN
64%
20%
16%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 1978 |
FCN
2 - 2
BVB
52%
23%
25%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1978 |
HSV
4 - 1
FCN
72%
16%
12%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 1978 |
ARB
0 - 1
KAI
34%
25%
41%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1978 |
DAR
1 - 1
ARB
64%
20%
16%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1978 |
ARB
1 - 0
KOL
26%
25%
49%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 1978 |
HER
1 - 2
ARB
71%
18%
11%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1978 |
ARB
1 - 1
STU
35%
25%
40%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | +1 |