Nürnberg vs 1860 München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.6%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.6%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.5%
8.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1959 |
STU
0 - 0
FCN
52%
22%
25%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1959 |
FCN
2 - 2
SCH
82%
11%
6%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1959 |
ULM
1 - 4
FCN
45%
24%
31%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1959 |
FCN
8 - 0
WAL
83%
11%
6%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1959 |
EIN
1 - 0
FCN
59%
21%
20%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
1860 München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1959 |
MUN
4 - 1
REU
71%
16%
13%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1959 |
AUG
2 - 0
MUN
57%
20%
23%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 1959 |
MUN
3 - 1
KSC
48%
23%
29%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 1959 |
FSV
3 - 1
MUN
47%
23%
30%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 1959 |
MUN
4 - 2
VFR
64%
19%
18%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |