Nürnberg vs Union Berlin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
19.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
EIN
0 - 2
FCN
31%
26%
44%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2003 |
BYM
1 - 1
FCN
79%
15%
7%
|
75 | 92 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2003 |
FCN
3 - 2
SSV
60%
23%
18%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2003 |
UNT
1 - 1
FCN
45%
25%
30%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
FCN
1 - 2
LUB
56%
23%
21%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2003 |
FCU
2 - 1
AAA
39%
25%
36%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2003 |
FCU
0 - 5
LEV
19%
23%
58%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
FCU
1 - 0
ARB
32%
27%
41%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2003 |
EIN
1 - 1
FCU
42%
27%
31%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
FCU
2 - 2
SSV
54%
24%
22%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |