Nürnberg vs Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
37.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1991 |
BOC
0 - 3
FCN
54%
25%
21%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1991 |
FCN
1 - 1
SGD
28%
26%
46%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1991 |
HAV
1 - 1
FCN
21%
24%
54%
|
73 | 50 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1991 |
S04
1 - 0
FCN
62%
22%
17%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 1991 |
FCN
3 - 1
F95
52%
24%
24%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1991 |
KOL
1 - 1
EIN
54%
24%
22%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1991 |
HSV
1 - 1
KOL
48%
26%
26%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1991 |
RWW
0 - 4
KOL
7%
16%
78%
|
83 | 10 | 73 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1991 |
KOL
1 - 1
KAI
48%
25%
28%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1991 |
KOL
0 - 0
SVS
59%
23%
19%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |