Nelson vs Tahuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.6%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
13%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13%
6.4%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nelson
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2019 |
NSF
6 - 0
FCN
7%
13%
81%
|
60 | 32 | 28 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2000 |
FCN
3 - 3
NAP
50%
24%
26%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2000 |
DUN
1 - 1
FCN
52%
24%
24%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2000 |
FCN
4 - 3
MET
62%
21%
17%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2000 |
WAI
2 - 2
FCN
51%
24%
25%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Tahuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2019 |
NSF
7 - 0
TAH
79%
13%
8%
|
9 | 35 | 26 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
TAH
1 - 0
CTL
49%
21%
30%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | +1 |