FC Muri vs Concordia Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.7%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
55.5%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
14º
16º
14º
50
3º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 52 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 52 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
3º
|
50 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 39 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
28 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 23 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Muri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
BLA
5 - 0
FCM
76%
14%
10%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
FCM
0 - 2
BAS
40%
22%
38%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
DOR
2 - 2
FCM
62%
19%
19%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
FCM
1 - 3
RTK
26%
21%
53%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
FCM
0 - 7
WIN
6%
13%
82%
|
32 | 67 | 35 | -1 |
Matches
Concordia Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
CON
1 - 0
EMM
78%
12%
10%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
CON
3 - 0
SCH
52%
20%
28%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
BLA
2 - 0
CON
56%
20%
24%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
CON
1 - 1
BAS
69%
16%
15%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
DOR
2 - 2
CON
40%
22%
38%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |