Momase vs Morobe Wawens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.5%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
33.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Momase
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
FCM
2 - 7
LAE
50%
21%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
BES
3 - 0
FCM
50%
21%
28%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
FCM
2 - 2
SSF
53%
21%
27%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
SSF
1 - 3
FCM
51%
21%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
FCM
2 - 2
MAD
50%
21%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Morobe Wawens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
BFC
1 - 10
FCM
45%
21%
33%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
BES
1 - 2
FCM
47%
22%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
SSF
4 - 3
FCM
48%
21%
30%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
FCM
2 - 1
BFC
54%
20%
26%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
MAD
3 - 1
FCM
52%
21%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |