Minai vs Shakhtar Donetsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.6%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.2%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.4%
73%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
13.9%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.9%
0-3
10.2%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
14.5%
0-4
5.7%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
14º
16º
15º
71
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
71 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 100% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Minai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
MIN
1 - 1
ZOR
11%
20%
69%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
MET
1 - 0
MIN
46%
27%
27%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
MIN
1 - 1
SKD
12%
21%
68%
|
64 | 82 | 18 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
MIN
0 - 3
LNZ
32%
30%
38%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
DYN
4 - 1
MIN
78%
16%
6%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Shakhtar Donetsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
KOL
0 - 2
SHA
13%
19%
68%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
HKR
3 - 3
SHA
13%
19%
69%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2023 |
SHA
2 - 1
PFC
62%
21%
17%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
TOT
5 - 1
SHA
63%
20%
17%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
FCV
1 - 1
SHA
12%
19%
70%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |