Pirveli Liga Round 18

FC Rustavi vs Meshakhte analysis

FC Rustavi Meshakhte
68 ELO 65
3.3% Tilt -2.7%
2127º General ELO ranking 2777º
14º Country ELO ranking 18º
ELO win probability
51.3%
FC Rustavi
25%
Draw
23.7%
Meshakhte

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.3%
Win probability
FC Rustavi
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
23.7%
Win probability
Meshakhte
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
FC Rustavi
+9%
+31%
Meshakhte

Points and table prediction

FC Rustavi
Their league position
Meshakhte
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
26
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Spaeri
39
71
87%
FC Rustavi
31
60
51%
Locomotive Tbilisi
22
53
26.5%
Sioni
24
53
31%
Meshakhte
26
49
18%
Merani Martvili
29
48
14%
Samtredia
17
43
22.5%
Gonio
21
43
20%
FC Iberia 1999 II
21
41
34.5%
Dinamo Tbilisi II
10º
8
24
10º
91.5%
Expected probabilities
FC Rustavi
Meshakhte
Promotion
8% 0.5%
Promotion play-offs
72.5% 17.5%
Mid-table
18% 44.5%
Relegation play-offs
1.5% 28%
Relegation
0% 9.5%

ELO progression

FC Rustavi
Meshakhte
Sioni
Locomotive Tbilisi
Samtredia
Merani Martvili
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

FC Rustavi
FC Rustavi
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Aug. 2025
GON
Gonio
1 - 2
FC Rustavi
MET
40%
26%
34%
67 57 10 0
27 Jul. 2025
SAT
FC Iberia 1999 II
2 - 2
FC Rustavi
MET
29%
24%
47%
67 61 6 0
20 Jul. 2025
MET
FC Rustavi
1 - 0
FC Telavi
TEL
49%
23%
28%
66 66 0 +1
01 Jun. 2025
MET
FC Rustavi
2 - 0
Dinamo Tbilisi II
DIN
64%
21%
15%
66 56 10 0
28 May. 2025
SPA
Spaeri
0 - 0
FC Rustavi
MET
59%
23%
19%
66 71 5 0

Matches

Meshakhte
Meshakhte
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Aug. 2025
MES
Meshakhte
4 - 0
Samtredia
SAM
33%
28%
39%
65 64 1 0
26 Jul. 2025
MES
Meshakhte
3 - 1
Merani Martvili
MER
37%
26%
37%
63 60 3 +2
20 Jul. 2025
MES
Meshakhte
2 - 1
Gagra
GAG
21%
25%
54%
62 71 9 +1
01 Jun. 2025
MER
Merani Martvili
1 - 0
Meshakhte
MES
41%
26%
33%
63 59 4 -1
28 May. 2025
MES
Meshakhte
1 - 0
FC Iberia 1999 II
SAT
38%
29%
33%
62 60 2 +1