FC Rustavi vs Locomotive Tbilisi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
32.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
1º
5º
2º
25
4º
10º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
46 | 73 |
1º
|
88.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
40 | 65 |
2º
|
81.5% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 50 |
3º
|
33% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 48 |
4º
|
19% | |
|
|
6º
|
25 | 47 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 47 |
6º
|
11.5% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 45 |
7º
|
16.5% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 42 |
8º
|
23% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 40 |
9º
|
39% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 23 |
10º
|
96.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
11% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
86.5% | 23.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
2.5% | 52% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 17.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 7% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Rustavi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2025 |
SIO
1 - 1
MET
51%
24%
25%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2025 |
SAT
2 - 0
MET
27%
26%
47%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2025 |
MET
1 - 0
SAM
51%
24%
25%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2025 |
MER
2 - 1
MET
36%
26%
39%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2025 |
MES
0 - 0
MET
23%
27%
50%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Locomotive Tbilisi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2025 |
LOK
2 - 1
SAM
53%
23%
24%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2025 |
MER
0 - 2
LOK
39%
25%
36%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2025 |
LOK
0 - 1
MES
61%
22%
17%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2025 |
GON
2 - 1
LOK
36%
26%
38%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2025 |
DIN
0 - 1
LOK
34%
25%
41%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |