FC Rustavi vs Gareji analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.8%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
50.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
1º
7º
3º
19
1º
9º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
4º
|
19 | 65 |
1º
|
42% | |
|
3º
|
23 | 61 |
2º
|
20% | |
|
|
1º
|
26 | 59 |
3º
|
22.5% | |
|
2º
|
24 | 59 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
8º
|
15 | 50 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 46 |
6º
|
19.5% | |
|
7º
|
15 | 45 |
7º
|
21.5% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 44 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
6º
|
16 | 40 |
9º
|
33% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 27 |
10º
|
85.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
17% | 42% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
42.5% | 39% |
|
Mid-table
|
30.5% | 18% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
9% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
1% | 1% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Rustavi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
LOK
1 - 1
MET
50%
24%
26%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
MET
1 - 0
KOL
54%
23%
23%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
ADU
1 - 2
MET
57%
22%
21%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
SIO
1 - 0
MET
60%
21%
19%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2024 |
MET
4 - 1
SFC
48%
24%
28%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Gareji
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
GAR
3 - 4
SIO
58%
23%
20%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
SFC
1 - 1
GAR
25%
25%
50%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
GAR
3 - 0
DIN
53%
24%
23%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
WIT
3 - 2
GAR
26%
26%
49%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2024 |
GAR
1 - 1
SPA
54%
23%
23%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |