FC Marco vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
44.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Marco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2001 |
SAN
5 - 1
FCM
65%
20%
15%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2001 |
RIO
4 - 1
FCM
66%
20%
14%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2001 |
FCM
0 - 1
CHA
48%
25%
27%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2000 |
MAI
2 - 1
FCM
57%
22%
21%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2000 |
FCM
0 - 3
NAV
53%
24%
24%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2001 |
NAC
4 - 1
UNI
66%
20%
14%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2001 |
SCP
3 - 3
NAC
78%
15%
7%
|
63 | 87 | 24 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2001 |
NAC
2 - 1
ACA
59%
23%
19%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2001 |
SCF
2 - 2
NAC
34%
25%
40%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2000 |
NAC
4 - 2
VAR
43%
27%
30%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |