Lyn 1896 FK vs Vard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.1%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.5%
7.4%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
62
1º
7º
2º
27
6º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lyn 1896 FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
TRA
1 - 4
LYN
15%
20%
65%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
BRA
1 - 1
LYN
24%
23%
54%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2023 |
LYN
4 - 0
AAL
80%
13%
6%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
ORN
0 - 0
LYN
17%
21%
62%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
LYN
3 - 1
FFC
76%
15%
9%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Vard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
VAR
0 - 1
BRA
39%
23%
37%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
FKA
2 - 0
VAR
64%
20%
16%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
GRO
4 - 0
VAR
49%
24%
28%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
VAR
2 - 2
ORN
59%
21%
20%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2023 |
AAL
1 - 0
VAR
34%
24%
42%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | -1 |