Lyn 1896 FK vs Raufoss IL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
25.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
1º
15º
5º
22
4º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 55 |
2º
|
56.5% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 51 |
3º
|
25.5% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 50 |
4º
|
24% | |
|
|
6º
|
31 | 46 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 45 |
6º
|
19% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 44 |
7º
|
22% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 40 |
8º
|
18% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 40 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 38 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
|
12º
|
22 | 35 |
11º
|
19% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 34 |
12º
|
22% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 33 |
13º
|
18.5% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 31 |
14º
|
28.5% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 24 |
15º
|
70% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 18 |
16º
|
89.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
3.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
62% | 2.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
34.5% | 81.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 13.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 2.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lyn 1896 FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
IKS
1 - 1
LYN
50%
23%
27%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2025 |
LYN
1 - 3
MJO
60%
21%
19%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
KON
2 - 1
LYN
50%
24%
26%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2025 |
LYN
1 - 1
SKE
72%
18%
10%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
MOS
2 - 0
LYN
38%
26%
36%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Raufoss IL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
RAU
1 - 1
ODD
28%
25%
47%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2025 |
SOG
2 - 2
RAU
46%
25%
29%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
RAU
1 - 0
STB
28%
25%
48%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2025 |
RAN
1 - 1
RAU
48%
24%
27%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
RAU
0 - 0
IKS
40%
25%
36%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |