FC Lustenau vs Dornbirner SV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
20.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
1º
11º
2º
32
2º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 52 |
1º
|
81.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
41 | 48 |
2º
|
38% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 47 |
3º
|
31% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 46 |
4º
|
25.5% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 46 |
5º
|
28% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 41 |
6º
|
40% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 40 |
7º
|
44.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
32 | 36 |
8º
|
56.5% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 30 |
9º
|
24% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 29 |
10º
|
28.5% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 28 |
11º
|
16% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 27 |
12º
|
40% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 20 |
13º
|
83% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 16 |
14º
|
85.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
11% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
89% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lustenau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
LUS
1 - 0
AUS
73%
15%
11%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
FCH
3 - 0
LUS
31%
23%
47%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | -2 |
| 30 May. 2024 |
LUS
4 - 5
EGG
67%
18%
16%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
LAU
1 - 4
LUS
52%
22%
26%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
LUS
3 - 0
SCG
56%
21%
24%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Dornbirner SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
DOR
1 - 7
SVA
6%
14%
81%
|
28 | 60 | 32 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
HOH
6 - 1
DOR
87%
9%
4%
|
29 | 57 | 28 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2024 |
DOR
3 - 2
ROT
20%
18%
62%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | +2 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
ROT
6 - 1
DOR
70%
17%
13%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
DOR
1 - 2
KUF
14%
17%
69%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | -1 |