AF Porto D.E. - Pro-nacional round 18

Lixa vs Valadares Gaia analysis

Lixa Valadares Gaia
18 ELO 22
-0.5% Tilt -8.2%
20038º General ELO ranking 24194º
381º Country ELO ranking 570º
ELO win probability
40.8%
Lixa
23.2%
Draw
36%
Valadares Gaia

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
Lixa
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
36%
Win probability
Valadares Gaia
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Lixa
Valadares Gaia
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lixa
Lixa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Jan. 2015
ALI
Aliados Lordelo
4 - 0
Lixa
LIX
54%
22%
23%
20 20 0 0
20 Dec. 2014
LIX
Lixa
1 - 0
USC Paredes
PAR
45%
23%
32%
19 21 2 +1
14 Dec. 2014
VIL
Vila Meã
1 - 0
Lixa
LIX
57%
21%
22%
20 21 1 -1
07 Dec. 2014
LIX
Lixa
2 - 0
Candal
CAN
75%
15%
10%
19 13 6 +1
30 Nov. 2014
RTI
Rio Tinto SC
2 - 0
Lixa
LIX
57%
21%
21%
20 22 2 -1

Matches

Valadares Gaia
Valadares Gaia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Jan. 2015
VAL
Valadares Gaia
1 - 0
Oliveira Douro
ODO
46%
23%
30%
21 23 2 0
21 Dec. 2014
GRI
Grijó
1 - 1
Valadares Gaia
VAL
53%
22%
25%
21 22 1 0
13 Dec. 2014
VAL
Valadares Gaia
1 - 0
Leça FC
LEC
63%
20%
18%
21 18 3 0
07 Dec. 2014
VAL
Valadares Gaia
2 - 1
Perafita
PER
73%
16%
11%
20 16 4 +1
30 Nov. 2014
ALI
Aliados Lordelo
2 - 1
Valadares Gaia
VAL
48%
23%
29%
21 21 0 -1