Lixa vs Padroense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.1%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
24.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lixa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
GEN
1 - 5
LIX
37%
24%
39%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
LIX
0 - 0
REB
39%
25%
36%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
VAL
1 - 1
LIX
29%
24%
48%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
LIX
1 - 1
SMA
22%
22%
57%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
SER
2 - 0
LIX
37%
24%
39%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Padroense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
PAD
0 - 1
ODO
48%
24%
28%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
GRI
0 - 2
PAD
57%
22%
22%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
PAD
1 - 0
LEC
65%
19%
15%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
VAL
2 - 0
PAD
67%
18%
15%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
PAD
2 - 2
ALI
35%
25%
41%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |