Les Lilas vs Roye-Noyon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
55.8%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Les Lilas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
TAI
0 - 0
LIL
18%
22%
60%
|
28 | 14 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
LIL
0 - 1
SED
29%
25%
47%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
MAR
0 - 0
LIL
61%
21%
18%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
HAZ
2 - 1
LIL
52%
23%
24%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2008 |
LIL
1 - 0
AMI
60%
21%
19%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Roye-Noyon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
ROY
1 - 1
MAR
64%
21%
15%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
AMI
2 - 0
ROY
18%
23%
59%
|
47 | 27 | 20 | -2 |
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
ROY
2 - 1
ABB
78%
15%
7%
|
47 | 24 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2008 |
ARR
1 - 2
ROY
38%
26%
37%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2008 |
ROY
1 - 2
ARM
71%
18%
10%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | 0 |