FC Lahti vs KaPa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.1%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
10.2%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
1º
5º
2º
15
7º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
44 | 58 |
1º
|
72.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
45 | 55 |
2º
|
72.5% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 42 |
3º
|
38% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 41 |
4º
|
32.5% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 41 |
5º
|
25.5% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 36 |
6º
|
37.5% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 34 |
7º
|
41% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 31 |
8º
|
57% | |
|
|
9º
|
15 | 22 |
9º
|
96% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 10 |
10º
|
99.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
27.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
72.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 3.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 96% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lahti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
FCL
3 - 1
EKE
48%
25%
28%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2025 |
JAP
2 - 1
FCL
24%
24%
52%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
KAP
2 - 2
FCL
15%
22%
63%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2025 |
FCL
2 - 2
TPS
42%
27%
32%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2025 |
KER
0 - 3
FCL
26%
24%
50%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
KaPa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
KAP
0 - 3
JAP
29%
23%
49%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2025 |
GIR
1 - 1
KAP
63%
19%
18%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
KAP
2 - 2
FCL
15%
22%
63%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2025 |
SAL
1 - 0
KAP
33%
23%
44%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2025 |
KAP
1 - 1
PK3
25%
25%
51%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |