FC Lahti vs HJK Helsinki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.9%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.2%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.3%
63.8%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.9%
0-3
8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
6º
12º
11º
43
2º
12º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
43 | 43 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 13 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lahti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
SEI
5 - 5
FCL
78%
15%
7%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
KUO
1 - 0
FCL
76%
16%
8%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
FCL
1 - 2
OUL
28%
25%
47%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2024 |
INT
3 - 0
FCL
68%
19%
13%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
FCL
2 - 2
ILV
23%
26%
51%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
HJK Helsinki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
HJK
3 - 0
OUL
60%
22%
18%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
HJK
2 - 0
HAK
49%
25%
26%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2024 |
HJK
1 - 1
PAN
46%
25%
30%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2024 |
PAN
3 - 0
HJK
38%
26%
36%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
ILV
3 - 0
HJK
37%
26%
37%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | -1 |