Kobenhavn vs AGF Aarhus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
14.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
1º
5º
1º
51
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
59 | 17 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
51 | 16 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 14 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 14 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 12 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 9 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kobenhavn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2023 |
AAB
0 - 1
FCK
19%
22%
59%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
BIF
1 - 3
FCK
24%
24%
51%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2023 |
FCN
3 - 2
FCK
29%
25%
46%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2023 |
FCK
5 - 3
FCN
54%
24%
22%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
FCK
0 - 1
BIF
64%
22%
14%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
AGF
1 - 1
FCN
29%
26%
44%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
AGF
3 - 0
VFF
27%
26%
47%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
FCN
0 - 1
AGF
55%
24%
22%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
AGF
0 - 0
FCK
18%
23%
59%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
BIF
1 - 0
AGF
46%
26%
28%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |